¿Qué es un SureBet?
Una SureBet, o apuesta segura, es un sistema de apuestas donde estás seguro ganar el dinero, con independencia del resultado del evento. No puedes perder.
En BetBrain, cubrimos dos tipos de SureBets, de “todo-a favor” SureBets, donde te cercioras de ganar apostando a todos los resultados posibles, y de SureBets “A favor/En contra”, donde te cercioras de ganar comprando y vendiendo el mismo resultado a diferentes cuotas.
Todas a favor Apuestas seguras
Considerar un Match de tenis entre Hewitt y Federer, donde dos bookmakers, ofrecen cuotas como esta:
| Hewitt | Federer | |
|---|---|---|
| Bookie 1 | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Bookie 2 | 2.65 | 1.55 |
Los bookmakers aquí funcionan con las probabilidades que son algo diferentes. De hecho son tan diferentes, que puedes hacer un SureBet apostando en ambos resultados.
Asumir que deseas conseguir un desembolso de €100 no importa qué sucede. Apostando €100/3 para Hewitt con el libro 1 y €100/1.55 para Federer con el libro 2, lo alcanzarás. Tu estaca total será
€100/3 + €100/1.55 = €33.33 + €64.52 = €97.85.
En el final del día, una de las apuestas se gana y se pierde una, pero independiente que viene una a través, realizarás un beneficio de €100 - €97.85 = €2.15. La fabricación de €2.15 en una cantidad de €97.85 es una vuelta de 2.2%. No malo para un horizonte de la inversión de uno o dos días.
En el ejemplo arriba, había solamente dos resultados. Pero todo-detrás SureBets trabajará con cualquier tipo de apuesta mientras puedas cubrir todos los resultados posibles. Por ejemplo puedes hacer un SureBet en un partido de fútbol apostando para el hogar, drenaje y lejos.
A favor/En contra SureBets (Apuestas Seguras)
Let us look at the same example, but now with a betting exchange, Exch, involved. The odds are like this:
| Hewitt | ||
|---|---|---|
| Book 1 | 3.00 | |
| Exch | Back | 2.65 |
| Lay | 2.75 | |
The betting exchange charges some commission on winnings, let's say 3% of net profits on bets. This means that the net odds, after deduction of commissions, look like this:
| Hewitt | ||
|---|---|---|
| Book 1 | 3.00 | |
| Exch | Back | 2.60 |
| Lay | 2.80 | |
The Lay odds of 2.80 means that it's possible for you to take a bet of Hewitt to win and, net of commission, you'll be required to pay out 1.80 times the stake in case Hewitt defeats Federer, but will receive the stake if he doesn't.
Now assume that you place €100 for Hewitt to win with Book 1 and at the same time lay €100 at the exchange. There are two possible outcomes:
- Federer wins. In this case you lose your bet at Book 1, but you receive the stake for the €100 bet you accepted at Exch. Your net profit is €0.
- Hewitt wins. In this case you have to do a payment of (2.8 - 1) x €100 at the exchange, a net loss of €180. At Book 1 however, you are paid 3 x €100, resulting in a net win of €200 at Book 1. In total, you have a net profit of €20.
In this way you cannot lose and you'll win as much as €20. As with the all-back SureBets, it is possible place the two bets in such a way, that your profit is the same irrespective of what happens.
Subscribiéndote a Betonvalue y al calculador de Apuestas seguras
Depending on your subscription at BetOnValue, the SureBets will have some delay in being published. Also depending on your subscription, back-lay SureBets will be included or not. See our BetOnValue subscription products.
From every SureBet, you'll find a link to our SureBet Calculator. When you click through here, you'll be helped to calculating the correct stakes to place. The calculator makes it possible to calculate stakes for the best SureBet of the event. You can also do calculations using the odds from other bookmakers, where the odds may be lower, but which for some reason is more attractive to you, for instance because you have money available on an existing account or that you can bet higher stakes. The SureBet calculator can even make these calculations individual to the currencies you employ at your accounts and the commission you pay at the exchanges involved!

